Will there really be more Muslims than Germans in Germany in 50 years’ time?

Such nonsense!

Belonging to a Muslim faith does not conflict with being a German citizen.

What an abysmally unwise juxtaposition!

Currently, between about 5% (according to the Federal Statistical Office, Wikipedia) and about 6.5% (according to “statista.com“) of all German citizens are Muslim.

So that’s about 2 Muslims on 30 to 40 non-Muslims each, of whom about 20 to 30 are Christians and about 7 to 10 are non-denominational.

Taking into account age and the average number of children, Statista predicts that by 2050, about 10% Muslims will be Muslim in the German population.This is the highest-case forecast with reliable source information that can be found.

The forecast for Christians around 2050 is then just under 60% and the forecast for non-denominationals is just under 30%.

Distribution of population in Germany by religious affiliation by 2050 | Statista

Who wants to break it down more precisely:

Religions in Germany – Wikipedia

So much for the ‘estimates’ expressed here.

By the way, at the end of 2016, there was a survey by the polling institute Ipsos in a total of 40 countries, which clearly showed that the share of Muslims in the population is systematically overestimated – in Germany, citizens estimate this proportion four times higher than it is is indeed.A particularly inaccurate estimate in an international comparison!

“Feeling” 21 million Muslims?- In fact, about 5 million Muslims live in Germany, the most since the 1960s.

Here is a summary from the mirror:

Feeling truth: Germans value proportion of Muslims far too high – SPIEGEL ONLINE – Politics

And here is the press release from Ipsos, at the bottom of the PDF of the original publication for free download:

Number of Muslims worldwide overestimated

A few more basic remarks:

Most Christians in Germany are “Christmas Christians”.

You’re baptized and go along for Christmas, maybe also at Easter… because of tradition.

The remaining seriously practicing German Christians then differ even further in their practice of faith by denominations.

Today’s German society can certainly no longer be seriously described as a devout Christian culture.Too few are involved.

That’s exactly the case with Muslims.

Only about 40% describe themselves as strictly believers.Organized in DITIB, the Muslim-Turkish umbrella organization, only about one million believers.

The majority of Muslims are just “disco-Muslims”, who, like the “Christmas Christians”, somehow identify as believers, but do not take it so precisely with the practice of religion.

And also Muslims differ in their denominations, in our mainly Sunni and Alevis, about 5 to 1.

More details on religious attitudes in Germany can be found here:

Religious statistics – Number of Muslims in Germany

Since 2015, complete misrepresentations of the actual figures have been repeatedly launched from the right-wing political scene.To stoke discomfort.

But apart from the fact that this is of course an embarrassingly transparent manoeuvre (and so easy to refute!), I find this reflex as a political strategy completely useless and contradictory.

It is amusing that it is precisely with regard to “core issues” of moderate right-wing longing, e.g. the desire for traditional families, classic gender roles, rejection of LGBT rights, clear structures of authority and a strong code of honour, according to the statistics, these issues are more allies among Muslim citizens than in the rest of the population…

What studies tell about Muslims

To answer the question briefly:


There will be no more German Muslims than Christians in 2050.Far from it.

And even the two “great” Christian denominations are far from absolute majorities.

Moreover, no one knows exactly what such figures will mean in 30 years’ time.The religious engagement of all believing citizens is decreasing and we live in a secular state – private religious attitudes play no role either politically or legally.

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