Unfortunately, climate change is a phenomenon that touches the foundations of our economic system and has, or will have, a direct impact on our daily lives.These two factors turn a scientific theory/ a predictive model into a political one that is turned through the mills of different social groups. In my opinion, there are the following (behind) reasons to reject man-made climate change:
- Individual fear: the predictions of the effects of climate change are very threatening.
The expected social upheavals (restrictions on mobility, job losses in the fossil fuel industry, increase in energy costs, etc.) through the necessary countermeasures are also very threatening to many. This threat is particularly pre-emptive for all population groups that are already suffering from severe pressure for change: the middle and less well-educated, middle- and low-income strata, and some precarious working conditions, are being affected by the situation. Wage dumping and an increase in energy costs threaten their standard of living, while at the same time their social environment and the labour market traditionally occupied by migrants are being pressured (at least felt). The issue of climate change is another factor that will lead to an increase in costs and job losses. Moreover, it is the core theme of the liberal-multicultural political spectrum, which is represented by the Greens and is something like the “class enemy” for the described strata. An almost “natural” reaction from such a perspective is rejection, denial, and the presumption of a world conspiracy.
In Germany, for example, this is the automotive and energy industries, in the USA the energy industry and in particular the oil industry. Especially in the USA, these companies have a very targeted disinformation policy, operate climate-sceptical, CO2-friendly information portals (see e.g. http://www.co2coalition.org), have contracted climate-sceptical scientists and have very good relations with politics.This lobbying and propaganda work bears fruit in the form of “normal” people who believe the arguments of these institutions more than 99% of climate scientists who warn of man-made climate change.
There is not “the one” climate model that tells us exactly what the future will be, but many models that all differ (strongly) from each other. In addition, there are also discussions among the scientists themselves (mostly about details of models and influencing factors), which contributes to an image of the “non-knowledge” and “advice” of the scientific community, which is also to be seen by the lobby groups above. exploited.
Depending on the individual disposition (personality, level of education, concern, environment), this ordinary citizen will swing to one side or the other side of the voices and at some point perceive the information storm according to his personal “confirmation bias”: either as a global threat to humanity as we know it, or as a conspiracy of the left-liberal forces to exploit the little man.